# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-05-06 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25MAY06-2 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:47:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-05-06 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25MAY06-2 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of the Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of Canada originally scheduled for 11:45 AM in the Oval Office, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	11	10	0.91	YYYYYYYnYY	0.64	hist	yes
Border	border	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.54	hist	no
Reciprocal	reciprocal	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.45	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	7	3	0.43	nnYnnYY	0.42	hist	no
Trudeau	trudeau	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	yes
Aluminum	aluminum	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
Electricity	electricity	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Immigration	immigration	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Annexation	annexation	0	0			0.34	hist	no
Water	water	0	0			0.34	hist	yes
Brookfield	brookfield	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Congratulations	congratulation	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Deal	deal	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Goldman	goldman	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Harvard	harvard	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Maple Syrup	maple syrup	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Sovereignty	sovereignty	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Statehood	statehood	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Ultimatum	ultimatum	0	0			0.36	prior	no
USMCA / United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement	united states mexico canada agreement|usmca	0	0			0.36	prior	yes