# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-06-29 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN29 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:07:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-06-29 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of his Interview with Maria Bartiromo on Sunday Morning Futures originally scheduled for 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	33	25	0.76	YYYYnnnYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	17	12	0.71	YYYYYYnYnY	0.59	hist	yes
India	india	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Pakistan	pakistan	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.55	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	19	16	0.84	YYYYYnYYnY	0.54	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.53	hist	no
Iran	iran	16	8	0.5	YnnYnnYnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Trade	trade	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.46	hist	yes
Obliterated	obliterated	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.46	hist	yes
Success / Successful	success|successful	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Bunker	bunker	2	1	0.5	nY	0.41	hist	no
Ever	ever	2	1	0.5	nY	0.41	hist	yes
Israel	israel	34	19	0.56	nYnYnnYnYY	0.4	hist	yes
Autopen	autopen	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.4	hist	yes
Jail	jail	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Canada	canada	7	3	0.43	YYnnYnn	0.38	hist	yes
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.38	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	14	7	0.5	YYYYnnYnnn	0.36	hist	yes
Sanction	sanction	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.35	hist	yes
Khamenei	khamenei	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Victory	victory	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	12	3	0.25	nnYnnnnnYY	0.34	hist	no
CNN	cnn	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	yes
Decimated	decimated	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Modhi	modhi	0	0			0.39	prior	no