# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2025-06-10 · 40 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN10 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-fort-bragg-remarks · as_of 2026-10-24T02:40:09Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-10 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of his speech to honor the 250th anniversary of the United States Army at Fort Bragg, NC originally scheduled for 4 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-fort-bragg-remarks (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	K	26	21	0.81	YYYYYYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	K	9	8	0.89	YnYYYYYYY	0.67	hist	no
Border	border	1	K	13	10	0.77	YYYnnYYYYn	0.67	hist	yes
America First	america first	1	K	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	0.66	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	P	18	16	0.89	nYYYYYnYYY	0.64	hist	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	P	4	4	1	YYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Golden Dome	golden dome	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	9	8	0.89	YnYYYYYYY	0.59	hist	no
Afghanistan	afghanistan	1	KP	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	no
Duty	duty	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Freedom	freedom	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Space	space	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Veteran	veteran	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Elon	elon	1	P	21	15	0.71	nnnYnnYYYn	0.51	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.51	hist	yes
Hell 3+	hell#3	3	P	11	7	0.64	YnYnYYYnYn	0.5	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	P	6	4	0.67	YYYnYn	0.48	hist	yes
Insurrection	insurrection	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	no
LA / Los Angeles	la|los angele	1	P	0	0			0.45	hist	yes
Dome	dome	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.42	hist	yes
Taiwan	taiwan	1	P	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.4	hist	no
Egg	egg	1	P	10	4	0.4	nnYYnYYnnn	0.38	hist	no
World War	world war	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	yes
Woke	woke	1	K	11	1	0.09	nnYnnnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 7+	billion|million|trillion#7	7	P	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	36	9	0.25	nYnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	98	5	0.05	nnnnYnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Airborne	airborne	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Braxton	braxton	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Commander-in-Chief	commander in chief	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Liberty	liberty	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Newscum	newscum	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Normandy	normandy	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Roland	roland	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Segregation	segregation	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Special Forces	special force	1	K	0	0			0.51	prior	no
America / American 20+	america|american#20	20	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Birthday	birthday	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Parade	parade	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no