# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-29 · 40 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25DEC29 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-netanyahu-event-on-monday · as_of 2026-10-24T19:23:42Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-29 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25DEC29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the President of Ukraine, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-netanyahu-event-on-monday (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Israeli Prime Minister on December 29, 2025.
# rows 1-37 of 40 by p · more: offset=37 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	1	K	46	33	0.72	YYYYnYnYnn	0.67	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	99	68	0.69	nnYnYYYnYn	0.65	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	139	103	0.74	nYYnYYYYnn	0.64	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	58	38	0.66	nnYYYYnnYn	0.58	hist	no
Border	border	1	P	83	49	0.59	nYYYYnYYnn	0.57	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	106	58	0.55	nnYYnnYYnn	0.55	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	72	45	0.62	YYYYYnnYYn	0.54	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	92	61	0.66	nnnnnnnYnY	0.53	hist	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	9	5	0.56	YnYYnnnYY	0.51	hist	no
Eighth war / Eight wars	eight war|eighth war	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	1	K	25	15	0.6	YnYnnYYYYn	0.5	hist	yes
Middle East	middle east	1	K	24	13	0.54	YYYnnnnYYY	0.5	hist	no
F-35	f 35	1	P	6	3	0.5	nYnYYn	0.5	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	77	33	0.43	nYYYYYYYYn	0.5	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	K	32	16	0.5	YnYYYYnYnn	0.49	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	K	48	26	0.54	YYYYnnnnnY	0.47	hist	no
Turkey / Erdogan	erdogan|turkey	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
Syria	syria	1	P	8	4	0.5	nnYYYYnn	0.46	hist	yes
Pardon	pardon	1	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.45	hist	yes
Bibi 3+ times	bibi#3	3	P	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
ISIS	isis	1	P	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.44	hist	yes
Hanukkah / Chanukah	chanukah|hanukkah	1	P	0	0			0.44	hist	no
Nuclear 3+ times	nuclear#3	3	P	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Hamas / Hezbollah	hama|hezbollah	1	P	0	0			0.43	hist	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	1	K	23	9	0.39	YnnnnYYYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Hell	hell	1	P	18	7	0.39	YYnnYYnnnn	0.41	hist	yes
Phase Two / Second Phase	phase two|second phase	1	P	0	0			0.41	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	23	11	0.48	YYnnnYYYnn	0.4	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	0	0			0.38	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	K	38	15	0.39	YYnYnYnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Tomahawk	tomahawk	1	K	7	2	0.29	YYnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	K	25	5	0.2	YnnnnnnnnY	0.31	hist	yes
N-word	n word	1	P	4	0	0	nnnn	0.24	hist	no
Maduro	maduro	1	K	34	9	0.26	nnnYnnnYYn	0.19	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Drone	drone	1	K	25	2	0.08	nYnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	K	217	19	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no