# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-20 · 29 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25DEC20 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:48:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-20 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25DEC20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Rocky Mount, NC, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	26	17	0.65	nYYYYYYnYY	0.67	no
Biden	biden	133	99	0.74	YYnYnYnYYn	0.65	yes
Tariff	tariff	93	64	0.69	YYYYnYnnYn	0.64	yes
Olympics / 250	250|olympic	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.57	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	31	22	0.71	YYYYnnnYYY	0.55	yes
Hottest	hottest	100	55	0.55	YYYnnnnYYn	0.55	yes
Border	border	80	48	0.6	YnYnYYYYnY	0.53	yes
Somalia / Somalian	somalia|somalian	1	1	1	Y	0.51	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	1	1	Y	0.51	yes
November 5	november 5	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.51	no
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	31	19	0.61	YYYYYnnYYn	0.51	yes
Christmas	christma	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.48	yes
Fake News	fake new	42	23	0.55	YYYnYYnnYY	0.48	yes
Hoax	hoax	21	10	0.48	nnnYYYYYnn	0.48	no
Eight War	eight war	20	12	0.6	nnYYYYnYnY	0.47	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	73	30	0.41	YnYnnYYYYY	0.47	yes
Autopen	autopen	27	13	0.48	nnnnYnYYYY	0.46	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	7	3	0.43	YnYYnnn	0.41	yes
Radical Left	radical left	32	15	0.47	YnnnYnnYYn	0.35	yes
Inflation	inflation	33	14	0.42	nYnnnYYnYn	0.34	yes
Economy	economy	26	12	0.46	nnYnnnnnnn	0.32	no
Water	water	26	6	0.23	nnnnnnnnYn	0.26	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	3	0	0	nnn	0.26	no
Epstein	epstein	48	8	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	0.22	no
TikTok	tiktok	38	8	0.21	nnnnnnnnYn	0.2	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	8	1	0.12	nnnnnnYn	0.17	yes
Maduro	maduro	27	6	0.22	nnnnYnnnnn	0.14	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	213	19	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.07	no