# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-08-15 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG15 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:28:09Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-08-15 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of the President's Remarks originally scheduled for August 14 at 1pm ET in the Oval Office, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	43	35	0.81	YYYYYYYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Energy	energy	12	9	0.75	nYYYYnYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Tax	tax	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.48	hist	yes
Putin	putin	27	19	0.7	YYnnYnnYnY	0.46	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	17	10	0.59	YnnYYnYnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Autopen	autopen	14	8	0.57	YnYYYnnnYY	0.45	hist	no
Newscum	newscum	6	3	0.5	YnnYnY	0.44	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	46	13	0.28	nnYnYnYYnn	0.41	hist	no
California	california	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	no
Gold	gold	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	no
Texas	texa	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.36	hist	no
Alaska	alaska	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.34	hist	yes
Air Force One	air force one	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
Federalize	federalize	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Powell	powell	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.25	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	15	2	0.13	nnnnYYnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Woke	woke	17	2	0.12	nnnnnnnYnn	0.24	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	108	5	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Congress	congress	0	0			0.36	prior	no
DC / District of Columbia	dc|district of columbia	0	0			0.36	prior	yes