# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-08-05 · 59 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG05 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-squawk-box-on-august-5 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:48:27Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-08-05 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of Live Airing of President Trump on CNBC's Squawk Box on August 5 at 8AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-squawk-box-on-august-5 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this appearance.
# rows 1-41 of 59 by p · more: offset=41 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	K	39	31	0.79	nYYYYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	26	23	0.88	YYYYnYYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	21	15	0.71	YYnYnYYnYY	0.63	hist	no
India	india	1	K	7	6	0.86	YnYYYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Peace	peace	1	K	9	7	0.78	YnYYYnYYY	0.56	hist	no
Energy	energy	1	K	10	7	0.7	nYnYYYYnYY	0.56	hist	yes
Autopen	autopen	1	K	10	6	0.6	YnYnYnYYYn	0.54	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	K	12	9	0.75	YYYYYYYnnY	0.53	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	18	12	0.67	YYYYYnnnnY	0.53	hist	yes
Fed / Federal Reserve	fed|federal reserve	1	K	0	0			0.52	hist	yes
Genius	genius	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.51	hist	no
Steel	steel	1	K	7	5	0.71	YYYYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.49	hist	yes
Russia	russia	1	K	22	14	0.64	YnnnYnnYYn	0.49	hist	no
Canada	canada	1	K	8	4	0.5	YYnnYnnY	0.49	hist	no
Golden	golden	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	K	14	9	0.64	YnnYnnYYnY	0.48	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	K	35	20	0.57	YnYnnYnYYY	0.48	hist	no
Nvidia	nvidia	1	K	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.47	hist	no
Japan	japan	1	K	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Chip	chip	1	K	7	4	0.57	YnYYnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	K	9	5	0.56	YnnYYYnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Brazil / Bolsonaro	bolsonaro|brazil	1	P	0	0			0.45	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	1	K	12	6	0.5	YnYnYnnnYn	0.44	hist	no
EU / European Union	eu|european union	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	hist	yes
Sanction	sanction	1	K	6	2	0.33	nYnnYn	0.44	hist	no
Too Late / Fed	fed|too late	1	P	0	0			0.44	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times	billion|million|trillion#15	15	P	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.43	hist	yes
DEI	dei	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	no
Reciprocal	reciprocal	1	K	9	4	0.44	YYYnnnnYn	0.42	hist	no
Tariff 3+ times	tariff#3	3	P	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.41	hist	yes
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	1	K	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.41	hist	no
Boom	boom	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Kamala / Harris	harris|kamala	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology	massachusetts institute of technology|mit	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	no
Hoax	hoax	1	P	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	0.39	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.39	hist	no
Too Late	too late	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	yes
Tesla	tesla	1	K	12	3	0.25	nnYnYnnnnn	0.37	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	KP	13	2	0.15	nnnnnnYYnn	0.37	hist	no
Elon	elon	1	K	30	16	0.53	nnnnnYnnnn	0.36	hist	no