# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2025-04-29 · 46 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25APR29 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-his-100-day-commemorative-rally-on-april-29 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:00:07Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-29 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25APR29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of his speech at the Macomb County Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-his-100-day-commemorative-rally-on-april-29 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
# rows 1-40 of 46 by p · more: offset=40 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Putin	putin	1	K	18	15	0.83	YYYYYnYYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Border 15+ times	border#15	15	P	15	12	0.8	YYYYYnYYYY	0.61	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	13	11	0.85	YYnYnYYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Elon	elon	1	P	18	13	0.72	YYYnnnYnnY	0.6	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYYYn	0.57	hist	yes
China 7+ times	china#7	7	P	3	3	1	YYY	0.54	hist	yes
Reciprocal	reciprocal	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.53	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times	billion|million|trillion#30	30	P	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
America First	america first	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.52	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	K	17	12	0.71	YYYYYYnYYY	0.52	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	K	9	6	0.67	YYYYnnYYn	0.5	hist	yes
Obama	obama	1	P	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.48	hist	no
Tax	tax	1	K	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.48	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	1	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	no
Golden Age	golden age	1	K	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.46	hist	yes
Egg	egg	1	KP	6	3	0.5	nnYYnY	0.46	hist	yes
NAFTA	nafta	1	P	9	4	0.44	YnnYnnYYn	0.46	hist	no
Kamala	kamala	1	K	7	3	0.43	nnYnnYY	0.46	hist	yes
Hillary / Clinton	clinton|hillary	1	K	0	0			0.45	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	1	K	9	6	0.67	YnYYYYYnn	0.44	hist	no
Hell 10+ times	hell#10	10	P	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	yes
Alien	alien	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Kennedy	kennedy	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Israel	israel	1	K	22	14	0.64	YnnYnYnnnn	0.42	hist	no
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	1	P	8	3	0.38	YYnnnYnn	0.41	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	K	6	2	0.33	nnYnnY	0.41	hist	yes
Gang	gang	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency	department of government efficiency|doge	1	K	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.4	hist	yes
Hegseth	hegseth	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	28	9	0.32	nYnnnYYYnY	0.39	hist	no
Gaza	gaza	1	K	9	3	0.33	YnnYnnYnn	0.38	hist	no
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	1	K	4	0	0	nnnn	0.35	hist	yes
El Salvador	el salvador	1	KP	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	yes
Recession	recession	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	0.33	hist	no
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	83	3	0.04	nnnnnnnnYn	0.12	hist	no
Deport	deport	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.48	prior	yes
History of the world	history of the world	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Joe / Biden 7+ times	biden|joe#7	7	P	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Loan	loan	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Not allowed to say	not allowed to say	1	P	0	0			0.48	prior	yes