# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2025-05-30 · 28 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-2-25MAY30 · P p:what-will-trump-and-elon-say-during-fridays-press-conference · as_of 2026-10-24T20:26:32Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-30 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-2-25MAY30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of the Press Conference with Elon Musk originally scheduled for 1:30 pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-and-elon-say-during-fridays-press-conference (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald Trump or Elon Musk says the listed term during this press conference.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	KP	21	16	0.76	nYYYnYYYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Genius	genius	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.49	hist	yes
Rocket	rocket	1	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.42	hist	yes
Trump 3+ times	trump#3	3	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.39	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	yes
Judge	judge	1	K	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	0.38	hist	yes
IQ	iq	1	P	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.37	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	P	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.37	hist	yes
SEC	sec	1	K	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Altman	altman	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.35	hist	no
Tesla	tesla	1	P	10	3	0.3	nYnnYnYnnn	0.35	hist	no
Mars	mar	1	P	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.35	hist	yes
Air Force One	air force one	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Harvard	harvard	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Crime	crime	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.34	hist	no
Starlink	starlink	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.33	hist	yes
Democrats	democrat	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Stock	stock	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Artificial Intelligence / AI	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	33	9	0.27	YYYnYnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Woke	woke	1	KP	10	1	0.1	nnnYnnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	94	5	0.05	nnnYnnnnYn	0.13	hist	no
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	1	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no
DOGE 5+ times	doge#5	5	P	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
White Genocide	white genocide	1	P	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Cybertruck	cybertruck	1	K	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Liar	liar	1	K	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Spacex	spacex	1	K	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Wife	wife	1	K	0	0			0.33	prior	yes