# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · keynote 2025-05-24 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-2-25MAY24 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:07:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-05-24 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-2-25MAY24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of the 2025 Commencement Address at The United States Military Academy at West Point originally scheduled for 10:15 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	17	15	0.88	nYYYYYYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Biden	biden	20	15	0.75	nnYYYnYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Border	border	9	7	0.78	YYYYYYnnY	0.55	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	7	6	0.86	YnYYYYY	0.53	hist	yes
America First	america first	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	0.51	hist	yes
Golden Dome	golden dome	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Leadership	leadership	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Woke	woke	9	1	0.11	nnnYnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Bloodbath	bloodbath	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Duty	duty	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Honor	honor	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Legacy	legacy	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Lethal	lethal	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Military Strength	military strength	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Monken	monken	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Patriotism	patriotism	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Space	space	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Strongest	strongest	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Veteran	veteran	0	0			0.38	prior	yes