# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-03-07 · 11 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26MAR07 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:36:21Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-07 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26MAR07 ({word} = w of K rows): If Robert Garcia says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	9	8	0.89	YYYYYnYYY	0.62	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.58	hist	no
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.46	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Republican	republican	7	2	0.29	YnnnnnY	0.37	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.34	hist	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.42	prior	no