# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-06-22 · 10 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JUN22 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:55:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-22 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JUN22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Raphael Warnock says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Weeknight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE	ice	1	2	0	0	nn	0.45	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	2	0	0	nn	0.45	hist	no
Election	election	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.43	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.35	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	6	3	0.5	YnnnYY	0.34	hist	no
Republican	republican	1	12	4	0.33	nnnnYYYnnn	0.31	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	yes
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no