# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-06-16 · 12 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JUN16 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:05:38Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-16 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JUN16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Wes Moore says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Weeknight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	1	11	4	0.36	nnnnnYYYnn	0.45	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.33	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	yes
ICE	ice	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	0	0			0.33	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0			0.33	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.31	hist	yes
Election	election	1	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist	no
Afghanistan / Iraq	afghanistan|iraq	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Billion	billion	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Obama	obama	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no