# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-06-15 · 12 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JUN15 · as_of 2026-10-25T19:09:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JUN15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Adam Schiff says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Weeknight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.52	hist	yes
Republican	republican	1	10	4	0.4	YnnnnnYYYn	0.51	hist	no
Election	election	1	1	0	0	n	0.49	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	0.34	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	0	0			0.33	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Clayton / Gabbard	clayton|gabbard	1	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Iran (2+ times)	iran#2	2	0	0			0.41	prior	no
UFC	ufc	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no