# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-01-24 · 10 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JAN24 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:01:54Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-24 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JAN24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Janet Mills says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	4	4	1	YYYY	0.6	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	3	3	1	YYY	0.58	hist	yes
DHS / Homeland / Noem	dhs|homeland|noem	0	0			0.46	hist	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Republican	republican	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Criminal	criminal	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Graham / Platner	graham|platner	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Maine	maine	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Warrant	warrant	0	0			0.41	prior	no