# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-01-16 · 8 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JAN16 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:26:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-16 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JAN16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Angie Craig says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.55	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Walz / Frey	frey|walz	0	0			0.39	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0			0.33	hist	no
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	0	0			0.37	prior	yes