# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-01-10 · 10 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JAN10 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:06:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-10 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26JAN10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tina Smith says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	yes
Congress	congress	0	0			0.31	prior	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
JD Vance / Vice President	jd vance|vice president	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Mayor / Frey	frey|mayor	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Self Defense / Defending	defending|self defense	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Walz	walz	0	0			0.31	prior	no