# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-02-17 · 12 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26FEB17 · as_of 2026-10-27T03:01:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-17 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26FEB17 ({word} = w of K rows): If James Walkinshaw says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	7	6	0.86	YYYYYnY	0.59	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0			0.59	hist	no
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.4	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Republican	republican	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.31	hist	no
Bipartisan	bipartisan	0	0			0.43	prior	no
FBI	fbi	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Ghislaine / Maxwell	ghislaine|maxwell	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction	redacted|redaction|unredacted	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Ro Khanna	ro khanna	0	0			0.43	prior	no