# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-02-14 · 10 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26FEB14 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:00:40Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26FEB14 ({word} = w of K rows): If John Brennan says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE / Border / Homeland	border|homeland|ice	0	0			0.57	hist	yes
Trump	trump	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist	no
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation	investigate|investigated|investigation	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Republican	republican	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.34	hist	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0			0.43	prior	no