# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-02-04 · 10 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26FEB04 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:51:17Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-04 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26FEB04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Janet Mills says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	4	4	1	YYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Trump	trump	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.57	hist	no
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.53	hist	no
Noem / Homan	homan|noem	0	0			0.5	hist	yes
Criminal / Citizen	citizen|criminal	0	0			0.47	hist	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.31	hist	yes
Republican	republican	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.29	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Senate / Senator	senate|senator	0	0			0.42	prior	yes