# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2026-04-14 · 11 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26APR14 · as_of 2026-10-27T00:03:16Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-26APR14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Robert Garcia says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Weeknight , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	10	9	0.9	YYYYYnYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.55	hist	yes
Republican	republican	8	3	0.38	YnnnnnYY	0.51	hist	yes
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	yes
Bipartisan	bipartisan	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	no
Hoax	hoax	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Melania	melania	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Todd / Blanche	blanche|todd	0	0			0.42	prior	yes