# The Weeknight (the-weeknight) · tv_episode 2025-12-09 · 8 words · K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-25DEC09 · as_of 2026-10-27T00:39:28Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEWEEKNIGHTMENTION-25DEC09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Josh Shapiro says {word} as part of The Weeknight, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
2028	2028	0	0		0.28	no
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.28	no
Extremist / Extremism	extremism|extremist	0	0		0.28	no
Fund / Funding	fund|funding	0	0		0.28	no
Kamala	kamala	0	0		0.28	no
Republican	republican	0	0		0.28	yes
Seditious / Sedition	sedition|seditious	0	0		0.28	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.28	yes