# The Beat (the-beat-with-ari-melber) · tv_episode 2026-06-10 · 12 words · K k:KXTHEBEAT-26JUN10 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:53:37Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-10 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEBEAT-26JUN10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Hakeem Jeffries says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	0	0		0.64	yes
Republican	republican	1	0	0		0.63	yes
Election	election	1	0	0		0.54	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0		0.52	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		0.49	yes
Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	0	0		0.41	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0		0.4	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0		0.4	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	1	0	0		0.38	no
Pulte	pulte	1	0	0		0.38	no
ICE	ice	1	0	0		0.37	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0		0.28	yes