# The Beat (the-beat-with-ari-melber) · tv_episode 2026-07-14 · 16 words · K k:KXTHEBEAT-26JUL14 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:57:57Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTHEBEAT-26JUL14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Cory Booker says {word} as part of MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	1	Y	0.74	hist	yes
Republican	republican	1	1	1	1	Y	0.73	hist	yes
Election	election	1	1	1	1	Y	0.66	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	1	1	Y	0.32	hist	no
Attorney General / AG	ag|attorney general	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
DOJ / Department of Justice / Justice Department	department of justice|doj|justice department	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Oath	oath	1	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Personal Lawyer	personal lawyer	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Todd / Blanche	blanche|todd	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Unfit / Unqualified	unfit|unqualified	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
War / War Powers	war|war power	1	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes