# Todd Blanche (todd-blanche) · speech 2026-09-10 · 12 words · K k:KXTBLAMENTION-26SEP10 · as_of 2026-10-26T10:26:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-10 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-08-22 (under 2 speech transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTBLAMENTION-26SEP10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Todd Blanche says {word} as part of RNC Midterm Convention , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Fraud	fraud	4	4	1	YYYY	1	0	0.66	hist	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.58	hist	no
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
FBI	fbi	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.52	hist	no
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0			1	0	0.51	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	7	4	0.57	YnnYYYn	1	1	0.5	hist	no
Biden	biden	8	3	0.38	nYnnYnYn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.29	hist	yes
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	0	0			1	1	0.44	prior	no
Talarico	talarico	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	no