# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-05-14 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY14 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:02:38Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-05-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY14 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 12 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Target	target	21	12	0.57	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Relationship	relationship	9	8	0.89	YYYYnYYYY	0.68	yes
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYnYY	0.65	no
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYYnY	0.63	yes
Threat	threat	9	7	0.78	YYYYnnYYY	0.62	yes
Alliance	alliance	33	12	0.36	YnYnYnYYYn	0.59	no
Million	million	9	5	0.56	nnnYYYnYY	0.58	yes
Snake	snake	11	5	0.45	nnnYYYYnnY	0.49	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	9	5	0.56	nnYYYYYnn	0.45	no
Drama	drama	9	2	0.22	nnnnnnnYY	0.42	no
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	9	5	0.56	YYYYnYnnn	0.36	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	9	4	0.44	nYYYYnnnn	0.33	yes
Clue	clue	9	3	0.33	nYnYnYnnn	0.31	no
Fallon	fallon	9	2	0.22	nnYYnnnnn	0.28	no
Risk	risk	13	2	0.15	nnnnnYnnnn	0.27	yes
Shelter	shelter	9	2	0.22	YYnnnnnnn	0.23	no