# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-05-07 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY07 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:11:44Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-05-07 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY07 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 11 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Target	target	20	11	0.55	nYYYYYYYYY	0.7	yes
Relationship	relationship	8	7	0.88	YYYYnYYY	0.66	yes
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYnY	0.61	yes
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYYn	0.59	yes
Threat	threat	8	6	0.75	YYYYnnYY	0.57	yes
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	13	5	0.38	nnnnnYYYYY	0.54	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	8	5	0.62	nnYYYYYn	0.53	no
Million	million	8	4	0.5	nnnYYYnY	0.52	yes
Alliance	alliance	31	11	0.35	nnYnYnYnYY	0.48	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	8	5	0.62	YYYYnYnn	0.42	no
Snake	snake	10	4	0.4	nnnnYYYYnn	0.41	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	8	4	0.5	nYYYYnnn	0.37	no
Fallon	fallon	7	2	0.29	nnYYnnn	0.36	no
Clue	clue	8	3	0.38	nYnYnYnn	0.35	no
Drama	drama	8	1	0.12	nnnnnnnY	0.32	yes
Shelter	shelter	8	2	0.25	YYnnnnnn	0.24	no