# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-05-06 · 19 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:18:54Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-05-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 11 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safe / Safety	safe|safety	7	6	0.86	YnYYYYY	0.67	yes
Fire	fire	21	14	0.67	YnYnYYYYYY	0.67	no
Drop / Dropped	drop|dropped	2	2	1	YY	0.6	no
Record / Longest	longest|record	2	2	1	YY	0.6	no
Tie / Tied	tie|tied	7	5	0.71	YnYYnYY	0.59	yes
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	12	4	0.33	nnnnnnYYYY	0.54	yes
Key	key	20	9	0.45	YYYYYnYnnY	0.49	no
Alliance	alliance	30	10	0.33	YnnYnYnYnY	0.48	yes
Journey	journey	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	no
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	21	9	0.43	nnnYnnYnnY	0.41	yes
Puzzle	puzzle	21	9	0.43	YnYYnnYYnn	0.39	no
Water	water	11	5	0.45	YYnYYnnnYn	0.38	yes
Sit Out	sit out	8	3	0.38	nYYnnnYn	0.36	no
Fallon	fallon	6	2	0.33	nnYYnn	0.36	no
Rope	rope	7	2	0.29	nYnYnnn	0.3	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	17	2	0.12	nnnnnYnnnn	0.23	no
Dig Deep	dig deep	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.2	no
Trust	trust	22	3	0.14	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	yes
Hunger / Hungry	hunger|hungry	21	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no