# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-03-25 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAR25B · as_of 2026-10-24T22:09:45Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-03-25 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAR25B ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	2	2	1	YY	0.58	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	2	2	1	YY	0.58	yes
Relationship	relationship	2	2	1	YY	0.58	yes
Shelter	shelter	2	2	1	YY	0.58	no
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	2	2	1	YY	0.58	yes
Threat	threat	2	2	1	YY	0.58	yes
Target	target	14	5	0.36	YnnnYnnYYY	0.52	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	yes
Clue	clue	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	no
Ocean	ocean	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	yes
Alliance	alliance	18	4	0.22	nnnYnnnYYn	0.37	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	2	0	0	nn	0.25	yes
Big Move	big move	2	0	0	nn	0.25	no
Drama	drama	2	0	0	nn	0.25	no
Million	million	2	0	0	nn	0.25	no
Snake	snake	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	yes