# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-03-25 · 17 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAR25 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:49:27Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-03-25 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAR25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Key	key	14	6	0.43	nnnnnYYYYY	0.59	yes
Puzzle	puzzle	15	7	0.47	nnYnnYYnYY	0.53	no
Safe / Safety	safe|safety	1	1	1	Y	0.51	no
Water	water	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	0.51	yes
Sit Out	sit out	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	yes
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	15	7	0.47	nYYYnYnnnY	0.42	no
Fire	fire	15	8	0.53	YnnnnYYnYn	0.41	yes
Fish / Fishing	fish|fishing	6	2	0.33	nnYnnY	0.4	no
Fiji	fiji	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.39	no
Alliance	alliance	18	4	0.22	nnnYnnnYYn	0.37	no
Rope	rope	1	0	0	n	0.29	yes
Medic / Medical	medic|medical	7	2	0.29	YnnYnnn	0.28	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	11	1	0.09	nnnnnYnnnn	0.21	no
Trust	trust	16	3	0.19	nnnYnnnnnn	0.2	no
Billie Eilish	billie eilish	4	0	0	nnnn	0.2	no
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	4	0	0	nnnn	0.2	no
Hunger / Hungry	hunger|hungry	15	1	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no