# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-30 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR30 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:14:46Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-04-30 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR30 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 10 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.72	no
Target	target	19	10	0.53	nnYYYYYYYY	0.69	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	7	5	0.71	nnYYYYY	0.64	no
Relationship	relationship	7	6	0.86	YYYYnYY	0.63	yes
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	7	6	0.86	YYYYYYn	0.57	yes
Threat	threat	7	5	0.71	YYYYnnY	0.52	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	7	5	0.71	YYYYnYn	0.49	no
Snake	snake	9	4	0.44	nnnnYYYYn	0.48	no
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	11	3	0.27	nnnnnnnYYY	0.48	yes
Million	million	7	3	0.43	nnnYYYn	0.45	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	7	4	0.57	nYYYYnn	0.43	no
Clue	clue	7	3	0.43	nYnYnYn	0.41	no
Fallon	fallon	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.41	no
Alliance	alliance	29	9	0.31	YYnnYnYnYn	0.41	yes
Shelter	shelter	7	2	0.29	YYnnnnn	0.26	no
Drama	drama	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.19	yes