# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-29 · 19 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR29 · as_of 2026-10-25T16:24:44Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-04-29 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 10 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Safe / Safety	safe|safety	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.65	yes
Fire	fire	20	13	0.65	YYnYnYYYYY	0.65	yes
Tie / Tied	tie|tied	6	4	0.67	YnYYnY	0.54	yes
Drop / Dropped	drop|dropped	1	1	1	Y	0.53	yes
Journey	journey	1	1	1	Y	0.53	no
Record / Longest	longest|record	1	1	1	Y	0.53	yes
Fallon	fallon	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.5	no
Alliance	alliance	28	9	0.32	nYYnnYnYnY	0.47	no
Puzzle	puzzle	20	9	0.45	YYnYYnnYYn	0.45	no
Water	water	10	5	0.5	nYYnYYnnnY	0.44	no
Sit Out	sit out	7	3	0.43	nYYnnnY	0.42	no
Key	key	19	8	0.42	YYYYYYnYnn	0.42	yes
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	10	2	0.2	nnnnnnnnYY	0.41	yes
Rope	rope	6	2	0.33	nYnYnn	0.34	no
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	20	8	0.4	YnnnYnnYnn	0.32	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	16	2	0.12	YnnnnnYnnn	0.25	no
Dig Deep	dig deep	4	0	0	nnnn	0.22	no
Trust	trust	21	3	0.14	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	no
Hunger / Hungry	hunger|hungry	20	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no