# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-23 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR23 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:02:44Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-04-23 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR23 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 9 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.7	no
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.7	yes
Target	target	18	9	0.5	YnnYYYYYYY	0.67	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	6	4	0.67	nnYYYY	0.6	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	0.59	no
Relationship	relationship	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	0.59	yes
Snake	snake	8	4	0.5	nnnnYYYY	0.58	no
Million	million	6	3	0.5	nnnYYY	0.53	no
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	6	4	0.67	nYYYYn	0.51	no
Clue	clue	6	3	0.5	nYnYnY	0.48	no
Threat	threat	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.45	yes
Alliance	alliance	27	8	0.3	nnYYnnYnYn	0.4	yes
Shelter	shelter	6	2	0.33	YYnnnn	0.29	no
Fallon	fallon	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.26	yes
Drama	drama	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.19	no
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	9	1	0.11	nnnnnnnnY	0.18	yes