# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-16 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR16 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:02:44Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-04-16 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR16 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 8 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.68	yes
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.68	yes
Target	target	17	8	0.47	nYnnYYYYYY	0.64	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.63	no
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.55	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.53	yes
Relationship	relationship	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.53	yes
Threat	threat	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.53	no
Snake	snake	7	3	0.43	nnnnYYY	0.52	yes
Million	million	5	2	0.4	nnnYY	0.46	yes
Clue	clue	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	0.39	yes
Alliance	alliance	25	7	0.28	YYnnYYnnYn	0.38	yes
Shelter	shelter	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.33	no
Fallon	fallon	1	0	0	n	0.3	no
Drama	drama	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.19	no
MrBeast / Beast	beast|mrbeast	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.18	no