# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-09 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR09 · as_of 2026-10-27T03:46:37Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-04-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR09 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	no
Relationship	relationship	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	no
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	yes
Threat	threat	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	no
Target	target	16	7	0.44	nnYnnYYYYY	0.61	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.59	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.49	yes
Clue	clue	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.47	no
Snake	snake	6	2	0.33	nnnnYY	0.45	yes
Alliance	alliance	23	6	0.26	nnYYnnYYnn	0.42	yes
Ocean	ocean	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.41	no
Shelter	shelter	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.38	no
Million	million	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.37	yes
Big Move	big move	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	no
Drama	drama	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	no