# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-08 · 18 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR08 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:01:20Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-04-08 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Fire	fire	17	10	0.59	nnnYYnYnYY	0.54	yes
Key	key	16	7	0.44	nnnYYYYYYn	0.52	yes
Tie / Tied	tie|tied	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.51	yes
Safe / Safety	safe|safety	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.5	yes
Water	water	7	4	0.57	nYYnYYn	0.47	no
Sit Out	sit out	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.43	no
Alliance	alliance	22	6	0.27	nnnYYnnYYn	0.42	no
Puzzle	puzzle	17	7	0.41	YnnYYnYYnn	0.39	yes
Rope	rope	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.36	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	13	2	0.15	nnnYnnnnnY	0.33	no
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	17	7	0.41	YYnYnnnYnn	0.32	yes
Fish / Fishing	fish|fishing	8	2	0.25	nnYnnYnn	0.31	no
Fiji	fiji	7	2	0.29	YnnnYnn	0.3	no
Dig Deep	dig deep	1	0	0	n	0.3	no
Heat	heat	1	0	0	n	0.3	no
Medic / Medical	medic|medical	9	2	0.22	YnnYnnnnn	0.23	no
Trust	trust	18	3	0.17	nYnnnnnnnn	0.19	no
Hunger / Hungry	hunger|hungry	17	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no