# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2026-04-02 · 16 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR02 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:20:56Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-04-02 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR02 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant says {word} as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bond / Bonded / Bonding	bond|bonded|bonding	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	yes
Relationship	relationship	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	yes
Strategy / Strategic	strategic|strategy	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	yes
Threat	threat	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	yes
Target	target	15	6	0.4	nnnYnnYYYY	0.57	yes
Blood / Bloody	blood|bloody	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.53	yes
Ocean	ocean	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.5	no
Shelter	shelter	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.46	no
Alliance	alliance	21	5	0.24	YnnnYYnnYn	0.42	yes
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.4	yes
Clue	clue	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.36	yes
Snake	snake	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.36	yes
Big Move	big move	3	0	0	nnn	0.23	no
Drama	drama	3	0	0	nnn	0.23	no
Million	million	3	0	0	nnn	0.23	yes