# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2025-10-08 · 17 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25OCT08 · as_of 2026-10-26T02:58:41Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-10-08 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25OCT08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 49 Episode 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Blindside / Blind Side	blind side|blindside	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Trust	trust	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Alliance	alliance	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Bromance	bromance	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Fake	fake	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Quit	quit	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Risk	risk	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	yes
Target	target	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Unfair	unfair	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Weak	weak	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Fire	fire	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Flint	flint	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Hungry / Hunger	hunger|hungry	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Puzzle	puzzle	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Reward	reward	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Storm	storm	0	0			0.29	prior	no