# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2025-11-27 · 18 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25NOV27 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:00:06Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-11-27 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25NOV27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 49 Episode 10, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Reward	reward	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Fire	fire	7	5	0.71	YYnYYYn	0.47	hist	no
Medic / Medical	medic|medical	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	no
Strength / Strong	strength|strong	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.4	hist	yes
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	7	3	0.43	YnnnYnY	0.4	hist	yes
Blindside / Blind Side	blind side|blindside	7	2	0.29	YnnnnnY	0.31	hist	yes
Puzzle	puzzle	7	2	0.29	YnnnYnn	0.26	hist	yes
Key	key	6	1	0.17	nnYnnn	0.21	hist	no
Hungry / Hunger	hunger|hungry	7	1	0.14	nnnYnnn	0.21	hist	no
Trust	trust	8	2	0.25	YnYnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Target	target	8	1	0.12	nnnnYnnn	0.2	hist	yes
Alliance	alliance	8	1	0.12	nnYnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Risk	risk	8	1	0.12	nYnnnnnn	0.17	hist	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	3	0	0	nnn	0.17	hist	no
Pressure	pressure	3	0	0	nnn	0.17	hist	no
Convince / Convinced	convince|convinced	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Tie / Ties / Tied	tie|tied	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Water	water	0	0			0.29	prior	no