# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2025-11-13 · 15 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25NOV13 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:06:10Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-11-13 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25NOV13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 49 Episode 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Reward	reward	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.64	yes
Fire	fire	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.55	yes
Flint	flint	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.5	no
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.37	no
Puzzle	puzzle	5	2	0.4	YnnnY	0.37	no
Strength / Strong	strength|strong	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.35	no
Key	key	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.29	no
Hungry / Hunger	hunger|hungry	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.28	no
Target	target	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	0.27	no
Trust	trust	6	2	0.33	YnYnnn	0.26	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	1	0	0	n	0.24	no
Pressure	pressure	1	0	0	n	0.24	no
Alliance	alliance	6	1	0.17	nnYnnn	0.22	no
Blindside / Blind Side	blind side|blindside	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.21	no
Risk	risk	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.21	no