# Survivor (survivor) · tv_episode 2025-11-06 · 15 words · K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25NOV06 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:19:50Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-11-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSURVIVORMENTION-25NOV06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jeff Probst says {word} as part of Survivor Season 49 Episode 7, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Flint	flint	4	4	1	YYYY	0.62	hist	no
Reward	reward	4	4	1	YYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Fire	fire	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.5	hist	yes
Strength / Strong	strength|strong	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Key	key	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.35	hist	no
Hungry / Hunger	hunger|hungry	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.33	hist	no
Trust	trust	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	0.31	hist	no
Target	target	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.31	hist	no
Immunity Idol	immunity idol	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.25	hist	yes
Puzzle	puzzle	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.25	hist	yes
Alliance	alliance	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.25	hist	no
Fish / Fishing	fish|fishing	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Risk	risk	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.23	hist	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Pressure	pressure	0	0			0.3	prior	no