# Keir Starmer (keir-starmer) · presser 2026-06-24 · 12 words · K k:KXSTARMERMENTIONB-26JUN24 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:00:57Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-24 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-03-18..2026-06-10 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSTARMERMENTIONB-26JUN24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Keir Starmer says {word} as part of NATO E5 hold a press conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0			8	4	0.47	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	1	Y	8	2	0.36	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			8	1	0.35	hist	no
Trump	trump	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	0	0.3	hist	no
5%	5%	0	0			8	4	0.36	prior	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			8	2	0.36	prior	no
Drone	drone	0	0			8	1	0.36	prior	no
Hormuz	hormuz	0	0			8	3	0.36	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			8	7	0.36	prior	no
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0			8	3	0.36	prior	no
Oil	oil	0	0			8	4	0.36	prior	no
Resign / Resigned / Resignation	resign|resignation|resigned	0	0			8	0	0.36	prior	no