# Special Report (special-report-with-bret-baier) · tv_episode 2026-06-23 · 11 words · K k:KXSPECIALREPORTMENTION-26JUN23 · as_of 2026-10-24T01:05:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-23 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSPECIALREPORTMENTION-26JUN23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Rutte says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	0	0	n	0.53	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0			0.59	prior	yes
Drone	drone	1	0	0			0.58	prior	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0			0.58	prior	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Security	security	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Starmer	starmer	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			0.35	prior	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no