# Abigail Spanberger (abigail-spanberger) · speech 2026-02-25 · 15 words · K k:KXSPANBERGERMENTION-26FEB25 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:30:19Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-25 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSPANBERGERMENTION-26FEB25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Abigail Spanberger says {word} as part of Democratic response to Trump's State of the Union, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0		0.44	yes
Chaos	chao	0	0		0.44	yes
Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0		0.44	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0		0.44	yes
Democracy	democracy	0	0		0.44	no
Election	election	0	0		0.44	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.44	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0		0.44	yes
Home / Housing	home|housing	0	0		0.44	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0		0.44	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0		0.44	yes
MAGA	maga	0	0		0.44	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.44	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.44	yes