# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-05-17 · 18 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY17 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:44:51Z
# scope K cast · n/y settled before 2026-05-17 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY17 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating SNL cast says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.52	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	no
Hantavirus	hantavirus	1	0	0			0.41	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.34	hist	yes
Study	study	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.33	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.33	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.31	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.27	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.27	hist	yes
Ceasefire / Blockade	blockade|ceasefire	1	0	0			0.23	hist	no
Alien	alien	1	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	yes
Cornell	cornell	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Kevin / Hart	hart|kevin	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Tucker / Carlson	carlson|tucker	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no