# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-05-16 · 12 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY16 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:53:49Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-16 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Will Ferrell says {word} as part of SNL opening monologue , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	no
New York	new york	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Trump	trump	19	5	0.26	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.14	hist	no
6	6	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Anchorman	anchorman	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Hawk	hawk	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Netflix	netflix	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Podcast	podcast	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Ron / Burgundy	burgundy|ron	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Talladega Nights	talladega night	0	0			0.27	prior	no