# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-05-03 · 15 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY03 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:22:45Z
# scope K cast · n/y settled before 2026-05-03 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY03 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating SNL cast says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Epstein / Island	epstein|island	1	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Study	study	1	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
ICE / NICE	ice|nice	1	0	0			0.19	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.17	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
JPMorgan / JPM	jpm|jpmorgan	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Kimmel	kimmel	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
King	king	1	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Melania	melania	1	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Secret Service	secret service	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Vrabel	vrabel	1	0	0			0.27	prior	no