# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-04-11 · 15 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26APR11B · as_of 2026-10-24T12:32:03Z
# scope K cast · n/y settled before 2026-04-11 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26APR11B ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating SNL cast says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live: Weekend Update, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Epstein / Island	epstein|island	1	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	1	0	0			0.2	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	1	2	0	0	nn	0.17	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Easter	easter	1	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
NASA / Moon	moon|nasa	1	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Rescue / Rescued	rescue|rescued	1	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Scarlett / Johansson	johansson|scarlett	1	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Study	study	1	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.26	prior	yes