# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2025-11-09 · 12 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-25NOV09 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:47:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-25NOV09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Nikki Glaser says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on November 8th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	yes
ChatGPT	chatgpt	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	0	0	n	0.24	hist	yes
New York City	new york city	3	0	0	nnn	0.18	hist	yes
Taylor / Swift	swift|taylor	4	0	0	nnnn	0.17	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Debut	debut	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Golden Globes	golden globe	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Marriage / Married	marriage|married	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Roast / Roasting	roast|roasting	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Tom / Brady	brady|tom	0	0			0.3	prior	yes