# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2025-12-21 · 10 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-25DEC21 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:06:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-25DEC21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Ariana Grande says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on December 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Christmas	christma	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
New York City	new york city	7	2	0.29	nnnYnYn	0.31	hist	no
Trump	trump	11	5	0.45	YYYYYnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Ozempic / Anorexia	anorexia|ozempic	0	0			0.2	hist	no
Cynthia / Erivo	cynthia|erivo	1	0	0	n	0.15	hist	no
Witch	witch	1	0	0	n	0.15	hist	no
Wicked	wicked	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Pete / Davidson	davidson|pete	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Taylor Swift	taylor swift	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Grammy	grammy	0	0			0.21	prior	no